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Around SBN: Kentucky Wildcats 66, Alabama Crimson Tide, 55: Postmortem

Keppinger No More

Jeff Keppinger, we hardly knew ye.

Keppinger came to the Royals in a memorable 2006 challenge trade with the Mets, as formerly non-horrible Royals prospect Ruben Gotay was shipped to New York for the older, less good Keppinger. Now, Keppinger has been DFA'ed to make room for David Riske on the 40 man roster.

With the 2006 Royals Keppy eventually grabbed 65 PAs and managed a .267/.323/.400 line. Without question, the highlight of his season was the September 9th game against Boston, when he blasted a three-run homer in the 12th inning which keyed a 6-run Royal explosion.

Nevertheless, I have no problem with Keppy being shipped out (or to Omaha) in exchange -- more or less -- for Riske. In fact, its a great move, especially since Keppy was a Moore acquisition that the man has since shown he's not wedded to. Still, it does make one wonder why exactly the Royals picked him up in the first place. I guess the easy answer was that Grudz might have been traded and GMDM wanted someone AL-ready in a pinch. Perhaps we'll never know...

With 16 hits as a Royal, Keppinger is currently tied for 244th All-Time with Endy Chavez, Denny Hocking, and many others. He leaves the 40-man roster 3 hits behind most hated Royal Justin Huber.

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Always it is by bridges that we live- RR Links

Since I've been generally absent from the computer the last few weeks, I'd like to take this opportunity to pass along a few nice links.

-Marc Normandin profiles enigmatic Coco Crisp at BP

-Aaron Gleeman takes an early look at next year's Twins lineup. This should be a must-read, since we all know the Royals will go something like 5-13 against the Twins next season.

-Our own "JQ" has started posting regularly about KU baseball at Rock Chalk Talk, but even KU-haters will enjoy his in-depth descriptions of the sometimes mysterious college game. His College Baseball 101 Series has been truly stupendous.

-In a fascinating post, The Good Phight looks at the top offense/lineup positions in baseball in 2006. Not surprisingly, #3 for the Cardinals was the most productive lineup slot in the game. The top Royal slot? The #5 hole actually, which hit .293/.365/.498. Looking at the lineups, that was actually Emil Brown, Matt Stairs, Tony G and later doses of Shealy. Royals #5 was the only lineup slot to crack the top 100. The next most productive was Royals #3 at 122nd and Royals #1 at 126th. The worst non-NL-#9-lineup slot in baseball? #8 for the Devil Rays, although #8 for the Royals was the second worst , "hitting" .236/.289/.327. Thank you Berroa, Buck and Gathright. Expect more on this later.

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Good bye...to Keppy
If he makes it through waivers, which I think he will, I hope we sign him and put him in Omaha.  Then when Sweeney/Sanders take their injury vacation we will have someone to bring up for a couple of weeks to set on the bench.  He would most certainly be an upgrade from some of the losers we had at Omaha last season.

by grudz69 on Jan 4, 2007 2:10 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Aquiring Keppy
The Keppinger aquisition made sense at the time.  I thought he was brought into to assume the Graffanino role on the team.  Also before re-signing, Grudzy could've been a FA at seasons end.  I also think he will clear waivers and be a good back-up plan in Omaha.
lordbyronk

by lordbyronk on Jan 4, 2007 2:26 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Interesting factoid
Our 40 man roster now consists of 22 pitchers and 18 position players.

I wonder how this compares to other teams?

It certainly speaks to GMDM's stated belief - that pitching depth is the single most important attribute of a good organization. Still does seem a bit odd - after all, most teams' major league roster consists of about 52 or 56% position players and 44 or 48% pitchers, so that theoretically should translate to about the opposite ratio - 22 position players and 18 pitchers. Then again, considering the propensity for injuries, maybe this makes eminent sense after all!

by loyal2s dad on Jan 4, 2007 3:20 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

dreaming aloud
wouldn't you love to see the Royals do something unusual like a 4-man rotation, a 4-5 man rotation hybrid, or tandem starters...

it'll never happen, but if there was ever a team that would be justified in trying something funky, the boys in bnlue would be it

by royalsreview on Jan 4, 2007 3:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed
I love how Moore has stockpiled young arms in preparation of injury, or in case someone struggles.

We still need one more #3/#4 arm before I can start to be optimistic about next year's rotation, but here are the legitimate candidates for the 2007 rotation.

Zach Day
Brian Bannister
Jorge De La Rosa
Brandon Duckworth
Odalis Perez
Luke Hudson
Gil Meche
Zack Greinke
Dewon Brazelton
Wayne Franklin

Perhaps by mid-Year:

Scott Elarton
Joakim Soria (probably keep him in the bullpen, though)
Luke Hochevar
Tyler Lumsden
Matt Wright
Any more (?)

I'm loving our pitching depth.  And most of these guys will just be stockpiled at AAA, AA, or traded for other needed parts.  Go Dayton!

by JRaider2005 on Jan 4, 2007 5:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

More musings on the position players
Actually, this should be fairly simple to figure out. Assuming the Royals go with their usual 12 man pitching staff, this leaves room for 13 position players.

Rather than start counting with those who will make the team, let's go backwards and subtract those who will not make it. We will need to subtract 5 players from the current 18 position players on the 40 man, but if Gordon makes the team out of spring training, the figure would rise to 6 because Alex would need to be added to the 40 man. OK, here we go.

I, unfortunately, see no room for Huber on the roster. That's one.

Next stop, backup middle infielders. Royals were very reluctant to play Grud at shortstop last season, so one should probably assume that either Blanco or Sanchez will make the team, with the other sent to Omaha. Probably will be Sanchez in Omaha, primarily because Blanco is out of options due to Baird rushing him to the big leagues. That gives us two subtractions.

That leaves either 3 or 4 subtractions coming from the outfield. I am going to assume Gordon wins the 3rd base job, and Teahen moves to a corner OF spot. That means we have to get rid of 4 outfielders from the 40 man out of the following group:
Gathright
Maier
Costa
Brown
Sanders

My guess would be Costa and Maier go to Omaha, if for no other reason than they have options left. Now it gets sticky. Sure, one of either Sanders or Brown is likely to be traded or cut, but that
still leaves a difficult decision between the remaining player of Sanders/Brown and Gathright. The problem is who can actually play CF well enough to backup DeJesus, and is that a big enough issue to warrant a roster spot? (Remember, the corner backup situation will be somewhat alleviated by Gload's ability to play both 1B and corner OF)

As an alternative, the Royals could keep one additional outfielder and take this concern off the table, but that might possible be at the risk of losing Andres Blanco to the waiver wire. Of course, there is bound to be a spring training injury or two (be it real or "faked") that might delay this decision, but rest assured GMDM will eventually have to address it.

Perhaps the Gload acquisition, if viewed from the perspective of his versatility, makes a bit more sense than we first thought. Surely there has to be a move or two GMDM is still working on to resolve the OF logjam, right?

by loyal2s dad on Jan 4, 2007 5:25 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

i'd love
to see Costa/Maier make the team, but also feel its unlikely... i do like this strange possible scenario in which Gload is somewhat useful, but we'll need to wait and see

by royalsreview on Jan 4, 2007 6:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If you do go the other direction...
I can't figure out a way that either Blanco or Sanchez makes the team if Gordon breaks camp with the team---German is going to have to be the backup shortstop, and that's even with one of Reggie/Emil not making the team.

I've done this before, but:

Starting outfield:  DeJesus, Teahen, Reggie/Emil
Starting infield: Shealy, Grudz, Berroa, Gordon
Starting catcher: Buck/LaRue (who really knows yet?)
Starting DH: Sweeney (this is the real "problem"--Sweeney will not be exposed to the field anymore, thus sucking up a bench spot).

9 starting spots plus the guaranteed 12 pitchers, leaves 4 bench spots:
Buck/LaRue
German
Gload
????????

That makes the last spot Gathright (or possibly Maier) vs. the backup SS.  I think the backup CF thing, plus the perceived need for bench speed, IS a big enough deal to tip the final spot to Gathright---with DeJesus sporting an annual injury, I hate to think of them starting him everyday, and the other options are simply not realistic (Teahen playing CF in his first month of OF ever? Reggie at his age? EMIL BROWN?).  Neither Blanco or Sanchez provide any value other than playing SS, as German is the better alternative everywhere else.

The real question is, are we better off with German giving an occasional shot at SS, or anybody else trying CF.  Seeing as bad plays at SS lead to runners at first and bad plays in CF lead to runners crossing the plate, I'll take the extra CF most of the time.

Seriously, how bad can German be at SS?  Even if its horrendously bad, that's not a big dropoff from the starter.

by CentralChamps2009 on Jan 4, 2007 6:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If no Gordon,
and one of Reggie/Emil does leave, then the choice probably boils down to Costa/Maier/(insert other minor league outfielder here) vs. the backup SS.  I can see the SS staying on in this scenario with Gathright and Gload in a weird platoon sending DDJ back-and-forth between CF-LF again.  Not that I like that at all, mind you.

If I was really betting on it, I'd expect at least 3 complete roster surprises by Opening Day, making all of this conjecture meaningless.

by CentralChamps2009 on Jan 4, 2007 6:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

MAKE NO MISTAKE
Gathright will make the team

by LeoBloom on Jan 4, 2007 6:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Might Blanco open on the DL?
I thought I remember reading that he wouldn't be back from surgery until after Opening Day.

by jbrocato on Jan 5, 2007 6:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i think you are right on
this almost forces GMDM to trade one or both of reggie/emil b4 opening day. also, i think its gathright over backup ss too leaving german to those duties.

would we ever consider 11 pitchers instead? i know from living in Atlanta for the previous 3 years that the braves did that on occasion.

I can actually wear my Berroa jersey where I live without getting heckled

by ZeppelinDZ on Jan 5, 2007 1:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

hmm
"Buck/LaRue
German
Gload
????????"

Interesting that we won't have a true backup CF or backup SS as a result of the Gload pickup.

by marbotty on Jan 8, 2007 4:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

how can such a bad team
have such a confusing roster???

by LeoBloom on Jan 4, 2007 6:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Because we are getting better.
Just the sheer number of bodies with even possible talent is better than what we had last year.   Options are a good thing and the more we have the better I like it.

by grudz69 on Jan 5, 2007 12:00 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Options
create competition and in competition there will be some confusion due to it's unstable nature.  With more competitive talent, there will be a better team on the field, which will be better for the organization, the players, and for the fans that love the team (good or bad).
lordbyronk

by lordbyronk on Jan 5, 2007 10:02 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Options
The problem is, they're mostly bad options.

by nycroyal on Jan 5, 2007 10:09 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

options
at least this year we have options.  recently it seems that we were just throwing bodies in certain positions.  now the question is:  will the right decisions be made?  (i.e. Huber).

by buddyball on Jan 5, 2007 11:53 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

it does seem
 like this years coaching staff has much more flexibility than in some more recent years

by royalsreview on Jan 5, 2007 12:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I forgot about Blanco's injury
that clears things up a bit, at least for a while.

Personally, I could live with the occasional game where Grud plays SS and German plays 2B. Berroa had no range last year anyway.

by loyal2s dad on Jan 5, 2007 3:55 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of the Opening Day Roster
Jon Lieber is currently being shopped by the Phillies for an OF.  I wonder if the Royals could pull off a trade for him using Emil or Reggie as bait.
lordbyronk

by lordbyronk on Jan 8, 2007 4:35 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

That would be great!
I kinda doubt the Phils would trade even up for either of these guys.  Somehow I think a more realistic deal would Costa + either Sanders or Brown for Leiber.  Leiber's been pretty decent over the last few years.

36 years old.
2004 (14-8) 176.2 Innings, 4.33 ERA
2005 (17-13) 218.1 Innings, 4.20 ERA
2006 (9-11) 168 Innings, 4.93 ERA
Those numbers would work in the KC rotation!

That said Leiber is signed for next year at $7.5M (no bargin) and then is a free agent.  I think the Royals could use him in the rotation, but more so in 2008 than in 2007.  So maybe his situation doesn't match up very well with the Royal's needs.  I'd be fine trading him for Emil and/or Sanders, but would like to get an extension worked out before I swapped Costa into the deal for one of the older hands.

by James Quinn on Jan 9, 2007 2:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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