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The Chris Lubanski Show

The basics:

Home: Schwenskville, PA
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Drafted: 2003   #5 Overall
Age: 22
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 205

The numbers:
    PA        HR    K/BB        SB vs CS        BA/OBP/SLUG
'04    537         9     104/43         16      11         275/336/414
'05    581        28     131/38        14      1            301/349/554
'06    613        15    112/72        11      7            282/369/475
'07 WIC 274        8    43/28        3        5            292/359/475

Baseball Prospectus lists two comparables as Grady Sizemore and Carlos Beltran.  Some players have emerged from the 2003 draft as big leaguers thus far.  A few interesting picks taken after Chris include Aaron Hill, SS for the Jays with good pop in his bat (#13 overall).  Also, Braves catching prospect Jarrod Saltalamacchia was taken in the supplemental round. (After Mitch Maier I might add)

But anyways, I'm not concerned with the pick of Lubanski at #5. He was called the premier high school hitter in the northeast, and his combination of size and speed must have been incredibly alluring to scouts.  After the draft many said that he was a CF in the mold of Johnny Damon.  That has proven to be a little off base as Chris's speed has not panned out how many hoped.  It has also been said that Chris has "good makeup".  This quality among draftees' seems to becoming a positive trend in the Royals organization.

Looking at his numbers, the most encouraging thing I see is his K/BB.  Despite 2004 to 2005, his plate discipline looks to have really improved.  It is also noteworthy that Chris is still only 22.  He played last year at Wichita a full year younger than Alex Gordon.  This makes me very optimistic.  We would all love to see Chris replicate something similar to his HR explosion in hitter friendly High Desert.  I still thank that in the next 2-3 years he could develop into a plus plus power hitter.  It will be very interesting to see how Chris responds to AAA pitching.  I'll also be looking at who's batting around him in the lineup.  It is clear that Wichita has become a black hole this year as nearly all "prospects" have moved up to the O Royals club.  If he can maintain his plate discipline, I think that Chris could potentially hit as many as 15-18 HR's during the second half in a better Omaha lineup.  

Longterm, I look for Chris to crack the big leagues sometime in 2008 and be the Royals starting LF come opening day 2009 at 24 years old.

To finish, a scout told BP in 2006 that, "There's no prospect with a less certain future; Lubanski might become a superstar or he might become Todd Dunwoody."  Only time will tell.  I'd love to read comments about what you guys think about Chris's future, and especially the future outfield of the Royals.  

Some Chris Lubanski links:

http://www.omaha.com/index.php?u_page=3923&u_sid=10071034  - Omaha World Herald story
http://video.aol.com/video-detail/id/2954289410  -  Talks about "Skill Show"
http://www.chrislubanski.net/fanclub.htm    - An invitation to join his fanclub
http://www.legis.state.pa.us/cfdocs/legis/PN/public/BtCheck.cfm?txtType=HTM&sessYr=2003&sess Ind=0&billBody=S&billTyp=R&billNbr=0104&pn=0923 - The Pennsylvania State Senate issues a formal congratulation to Chris after being drafted

0 recs  |  Comment 12 comments

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Lubanski
I tend to think he pans out as a regular, maybe not a superstar, but a solid average offensive contributor.  Maybe .270/20HR's/80RBI's every year.  I think he might be our starting left fielder by the end of next year, if we upgrade 1B and go with the OF's we have.  At the very least, he'll be a fourth OF.  I hope he has a solid second half, the plate discipline that we have seen so far has been a great improvement.  Definitely, a player to keep an eye on.  

by lordbyronk on Jul 10, 2007 3:28 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Slow Developer
and I don't mean that in a bad way.  Lubanski is a guy who is old school in the way he has developed.  He pretty much has been a level to level guy who has put up pretty good numbers where ever he ends up once he gets used to teh new level.  I wouldn't be shocked to see him be a very good ML outfielder just based on how consistant he has been in the minors.  Remember this guy is still a year younger that Gordon and the big difference is that Gordon went to school and Lubanski didn't.  Lubanski may not be quite on Gordons level but he probably not that far below either.

by EricConley on Jul 10, 2007 8:41 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Lubanski
Hard to tell at this point. He's struggling at AAA right now but I'm neither surprised nor concerned at the moment since he was just promoted.  Sad that the Royals could have had Saltalamacchia though.  He can hit.

by nycroyal on Jul 10, 2007 9:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Who knows?
But the MOST encouraging thing is his ability to adjust to each level. Looking at his numbers, if one were to break down between his first 50% PAs and his last 50% PAs at each level, it would be quite revealing. The guy has been able to successfully adjust to each level so far. If this trend continues, I think we will have a major league starter. Will he be an avg starter, below avg, or above? To me, any of those three still seem possible.

Is he progressing too slowly to be taken seriously? I definitely say NO to that question. He's on pace to get a cup of coffee by age 23 at a minimum, and to be in the bigs for good by 24. That's probably a normal age for both occurrences.

By the way - if we are giving Lubanski the benefit of the doubt for being a year younger than Gordon, then what does that mean about Butler!?!  Butler is two years younger than Gordon - and could eventually be the rare RH slow power hitter good enough to contend for a batting title one day. How exciting is it to be a Royals fan right now?

by loyal2s dad on Jul 10, 2007 9:58 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Chris Lubanski
I still have high hopes for this kid. I don't think he'll be a superstar, but I think he can be a very solid MLB contributor - an Eric Byrnes or Brad Wilkerson maybe.


I have severe first half/second half splits!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jul 10, 2007 10:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He looked like he had a good arm
when I watched him on Sunday. I would take Brad Wilkerson (minus the injuries of course). That would be fine with a power hitting DH and 1B.

by royaldaddy on Jul 10, 2007 2:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Still young for his level
One of the things I think about Lubanski is that he has always been one of the youngest players at the league he has played.  This is the first year he has repeated.  He just turned 22 in March.  We have guys at Idaho Falls and Burlington older than he is.  Rowdy Hardy will be 25 by end of year and he is still at Wilmington.  

If Lubanski could be an average to above average ML outfielder I would be thrilled.  Perhaps break him in as a platoon player.  Based on KC's past record of developing players, ML average would be an improvement.  

by daveyork on Jul 10, 2007 7:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If he had gone to college
This would be first full pro season, right? He's on a pretty good pace.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jul 11, 2007 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Plus
GMDM has previously stated that the only reason he started in AA again this year was because of the organizational logjam in the outfield at both KC and Omaha levels.

by loyal2s dad on Jul 11, 2007 11:43 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

GMDM Should
Go all lumberjack and break up that logjam; some of the trees are only good for pulp.
Being a fan is irrational, but what is the alternative?

by philofthenorth on Jul 11, 2007 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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