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John Buck is probably the best free agent option now for catcher. I have no idea why the Royals...

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John Buck is probably the best free agent option now for catcher. I have no idea why the Royals would let him go while picking up the corpse of Jason Kendall. Teams are still convinced that veteran catchers can have value above and beyond the numbers. The search to quantify that still goes on.

Sean "CHONE" Smith

2008 WAR Totals of Five 2005 Draftees from www.baseballprojection.com

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  1. Jay Bruce -0.2
  2. Ryan Zimmerman 0.9
  3. Troy Tulowitzki 1.2
  4. Ryan Braun 2.1
  5. Alex Gordon 3.3
FanPost
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Choose-Your-Own WAR Projection! 2009 Royals Position Players

As one of the millions of people who undoubtedly read yesterday's Driveline Mechanics column on optimizing the 2009 Royals' lineup, I have little doubt you saw all those numbers for the Royals...

FanPost
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The Numbers Are In: What Do the Projections Say About the Royals' Rotation in 2009?

So, yeah, I'm supposed to be working on some "So what is..." posts for the Stat Glossary, but I don't really work here, so I'll get to it in my own sweeet time. And, yes, I should really be working...

Mike Jacobs' Career May One Day Equal Barry Bonds'

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Over at Beyond the Box Score, xanthan takes at look at historical Wins Above Replacement to see how long it would take some current players, at their career rates, to catch up with Barry Bonds. For A-Rod, it's about 9.6. For Pujols, it's 11.42. For Jeter, it's 21.51. Some joker asked about Mike Jacobs. Hey, it could happen... check the comments for the number of seasons it would take Mr. 32 Home Runs.

Minor League Splits Now Has Defensive Numbers

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No, it's not a version of UZR or plus/minus, but it's something. It's a version of Sean "CHONE" Smith's TotalZone, so I believe that, like TotalZone for the majors, it uses RetroSheet )or RetroSheet-style) data to reconstruct, as best as possible (with heavy regression, etc.) hit location. Very interesting stuff. Smith has an interesting piece on historical fielding numbers (reconstructed from Retrosheet) in this year's THT annual. The usual caveats about defensive metrics (particularly ones that don't have hit location available) and player development apply, of course. Keep in mind the small sample sizes, that players are usually away from their defensive peak (and in many cases, are learning new positions), and so on. So this in no way should be taken to "overrule" scouting reports. Still, this is a cool thing, and TotalZone is generally considered to be right there with the best of its kind (with Dan Fox's no-longer available Simple Fielding Runs, Pizza Cutter's OPA!, etc.). h/t to R. J. Anderson and Beyond the Box Score Also cool that they have home/road splits, which I don't see elsewhere. Interesting numbers: Mike Aviles (linked page above): At SS: 2005 -4 2006 0 2007 +2 2008 +3 at 2B: 2005 -4 2006 +8 2007 +4 2008 +6 Billy Butler at 1b: 2007 +1 2008 -2 at LF 2005 -18 (total) 2006 -9 at RF 2006 -35 MITCH at CF: 2005 -3 2006 -14 2007 +10 2008 +13 Joe Dickerson 2005 -23 at CF, 0 at RF 2006 -2 at CF 2007 -1 at CF, -8 at LF 2008 +1 at RF D-Rob 2006 -3 at CF, +1 at RF 2007 +1 at LF, 0 at RF, -14 at CF 2008 +5 at CF Jeff Bianchi: 2005 +10 at SS 2006 +1 at SS 2007 -1 at 2B, +5 at SS 2008 +9 at 2B< -2 at SS Huber (LF only) 2006 -11 2007 +7 2008 +1 Kila: 2005 +2 2006 +4 2007 +5 2008 -3

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