clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Royals Starting Pitching Swing and Miss Rates

Bet you can't hit my change.
Bet you can't hit my change.

I decided to look at the swing and miss rates for the Royals starters since it is around the quarter point of the season.   There has been some attention to the value of swing and miss rates, but I mainly just love seeing which pitches cause the big old whiff.  Here is how the starters are doing so far in 2010 (league average has been around 19%):

Name Number of Swing and Misses Total Swings pitch_type % of Swings That Miss
Meche Gil 8 33 CH 24%
Meche Gil 7 61 CU 11%
Meche Gil 1 17 FC 6%
Meche Gil 13 158 FF 8%
Meche Gil 5 42 SL 12%

34 311 Total = 11%
Greinke Zack 7 47 CH 15%
Greinke Zack 3 32 CU 9%
Greinke Zack 15 152 FF 10%
Greinke Zack 15 59 SL 25%

40 290 Total = 14%
Davies Kyle 21 62 CH 34%
Davies Kyle 4 26 CU 15%
Davies Kyle 12 42 FC 29%
Davies Kyle 10 128 FF 8%
Davies Kyle 3 23 SL 13%

50 281 Total = 18%
Bannister Brian 16 62 CH 26%
Bannister Brian 10 27 CU 37%
Bannister Brian 12 80 FC 15%
Bannister Brian 21 151 FF 14%
Bannister Brian 1 4 SL 25%

60 324 Total = 19%
Hochevar Luke 4 24 CH 17%
Hochevar Luke 5 27 CU 19%
Hochevar Luke 16 56 FC 29%
Hochevar Luke 13 112 FF 12%
Hochevar Luke 4 13 FS 31%
Hochevar Luke 11 90 SI 12%
Hochevar Luke 16 46 SL 35%

69 368 Total = 19%

 

Here are the codes for the various pitch types:
FA    Fastball
FF    4-seam Fastball
FT    2-seam Fastball
FC    Cut Fastball
FS    Split-finger Fastball
SI    Sinker
SL    Slider
CU    Curveball
CH    Change-up

Here is how they did from 2007 to 2009:

Name Pitch type % Miss
Brian Bannister FF 11%
Brian Bannister CU 22%
Brian Bannister CH 23%
Brian Bannister FC 10%
Brian Bannister SL 13%
Brian Bannister FA 12%
Gil Meche FC 18%
Gil Meche SL 16%
Gil Meche CH 31%
Gil Meche FF 13%
Gil Meche CU 23%
Gil Meche FA 15%
Kyle Davies CU 26%
Kyle Davies SL 30%
Kyle Davies FF 10%
Kyle Davies CH 29%
Kyle Davies FA 12%
Luke Hochever CH 17%
Luke Hochever SI 14%
Luke Hochever CU 22%
Luke Hochever FF 11%
Luke Hochever SL 33%
Luke Hochever FA 9%
Zack Greinke CH 28%
Zack Greinke CU 27%
Zack Greinke SL 40%
Zack Greinke FF 11%
Zack Greinke FA 15%

I don't have too much analysis, except that Greinke's slider went from one of the hardest pitches to hit last season in all of baseball, to below average this season.