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The Chances of Scoring Only 4 Runs with 23 Base Runners. Looking More Into Friday Nights Royal's Loss

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In case you missed from Friday night here is the box score:


Final - 8.27.2010 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Kansas City Royals 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 16 0
Cleveland Indians 0 6 0 1 3 0 0 5 X 15 17 0
WP: Josh Tomlin (2 - 3)
LP: Bryan Bullington (1 - 3)

Complete Coverage >



That line is missing the 6 Royals that were walked by the Indians and 1 hit by pitch.   Thirteen of the hits were singles along with 2 doubles and a home run.

Tom Tango has a great tool that a person can use to enter a player's, team's or game's scoring line and show how many runs should be scored given a number of hits, walks, etc.  Entering the game data in the calculator here are some of the highlights:

Average runs scored for the game: 13.1 runs

Chances of scoring 4 or less runs: 6.0%

I think that is enough.  It sucks to follow a consistently bad team and when they are unlucky on top of that, it makes following them almost down right miserable.  Maybe Dubya will have some good news in the Minor League Report.