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Royals Starting Pitching Target: Matt Garza

SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 27:  Matt Garza #17 of the Chicago Cubs pitches during the first inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on September 27, 2011 in San Diego, California.  (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 27: Matt Garza #17 of the Chicago Cubs pitches during the first inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on September 27, 2011 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)
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Name: Matt Garza is a 27 year old RHP for the Chicago Cubs

Contract: He will be a FA in 2014. He signed for $5.9M in 2011 and $3.35 in 2010. He looks to get around $9M for 2012.

Pitches:

Fastball: 93 to 95 MPH. Used 70% of the time until 2011 when it dropped to 60% because he used his slider more.

Slider: 83 to 87 MPH. Used 15% of the time in past, increased to 25% in 2011

Curve: 74 to 77 MPH. Used 10% to 15% of the time

Change-up: 83 to 87 MPH. Used 5% to 10% of the time.

Results:

Season GS IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BABIP GB% ERA FIP xFIP SIERA WAR
2006 10 50.0 6.8 4.1 1.1 0.339 35.1 % 5.76 4.57 4.95 4.94 0.7
2007 16 83.0 7.3 3.5 0.9 0.344 47.7 % 3.69 4.18 4.41 4.38 1.4
2008 30 184.2 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.270 41.7 % 3.70 4.14 4.42 4.44 2.9
2009 32 203.0 8.4 3.5 1.1 0.273 39.7 % 3.95 4.17 4.14 3.98 3.1
2010 33 204.2 6.6 2.8 1.2 0.272 35.8 % 3.91 4.42 4.31 3.55 1.6
2011 31 198.0 9.0 2.9 0.6 0.306 46.3 % 3.32 2.95 3.19 4.08 5.0

Matt's improvement in 2011 can be attributed to his increase use of his slider. Also, he was able to keep a few more pitches on the ground.

He would easily be the best pitcher on the Royals staff if we were able to pry him away from the Cubs.

Injuries:

April 2008: Missed 15 games because of right arm injury

May 2011: Missed 14 games because of right elbow injury.

One concern I do have about him is the elbow injury in 2011. Increase use of sliders has been link to more injuries, so he may start to become an injury risk.

Conclusion: I like his ability and he will be around for 3 more seasons. The big question is: What is his availability and what would it take to get him?

Epstein will be trying to turn the Cubs around fast. IMO, Garza actually is one of the few decent pieces already in place. I just don't see him being available, except for a huge haul.

Other Royal Starting Pitching Targets:

Jair Jurrjens

Wandy Rodiguez

Edwin Jackson

Chad Billingsley

Gio Gonzalez

James Shields