Will Eric Hosmer hit over 200 home runs in his career? It's a pretty simple question, albeit one that's nearly impossible to answer with certainty. Still, just as people are excited to talk about who might be running for President in 2016 or reading and writing fan fiction about made up people, the discussion itself can be interesting.
In answering the o/u question on 200 homers for Hosmer, you have to make a statement of belief about a) Hosmer's ability generally and b) his power potential. A 200 homer career is more significant than you think. Here are a handful of players around that total:
- 210 career HRs: Roberto Alomar, Brady Anderson, Rico Petrocelli, Wally Post
- 208 career HRs: Phli Nevin, Jason Thompson, Devon White
- 207 career HRs: Kirby Puckett (more overrated as a player or a human being? tough call there), Richie Zisk
- 206 career HRs: Felipe Alou, Gus Bell, Pete Incaviglia