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Hochevar for the Future?

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There has been growing buzz that Hochevar has "figured it out" or "turned a corner" or whatever.

"This is who he is," Royals manager Ned Yost said. "Since the All-Star break, he's been unbelievably good."


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Luke Hochevar 8-8 24 24 0 0 0 0 152.1 150 86 81 18 48 86 4.79 1.30

Some points to consider:

  • This is the lowest his ERA has been since May 19th.
  • Last five starts: 33.2 IP, 2.41 ERA (9 ER), 26 Ks, 10 BBs. .237 BABIP,
  • There's much chatter about his W-L record, which is irrelevant and in fact counter-productive to talk about. Obviously.
  • Absent evidence that something actually changed, looking at Luke in the context of a hot streak is going to be deceiving. Just as looking at someone after a rough patch would be. We need to hedge everything one way or the other.
  • That being said, if something did change after the All-Star break, then maybe that is a reason to be hopeful.