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A Look at What Pitches the Royals Have and Haven't Hit so Far

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Examining, briefly, what pitches the Royals have hit, or haven't hit, this post season

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

This exercise is about what pitches the Royals have or haven't hit in during this post season. The emphasis on being if they've hit them with no concern on where the ball went after they hit them. We do of course care about where the ball went if they didn't hit them as they generally end up inside the catcher's glove.

The Royals have seen 1,229 pitches so far in the playoffs. Here's the breakdown by pitch category including the breakdown of the regular season:

Pitch Type Regular % of Total Playoffs % of Total
FB 13278 60% 770 63%
Breaking 6439 28% 337 27%
Offspeed 2723 12% 122 10%

So the theme has continued  into the playoffs as far as the spread of pitches against the Royals. Interestingly during the regular season the Royals saw the least amount of fastballs as a percentage of total pitches. So far this post season they've seen the 2nd least for teams that reached at least the divisional series (1% more than Saint Louis).

FB Heatt

Percent of pitches as fastballs:

Rank Fastballs Batter Total Pitches Percent  of Pitches
1 104 Nori Aoki 136 76.47%
2 100 Mike Moustakas 133 75.19%
3 85 Eric Hosmer 139 61.15%
4 72 Lorenzo Cain 118 61.02%
5 78 Omar Infante 128 60.94%
6 80 Alcides Escobar 140 57.14%
7 83 Alex Gordon 152 54.61%
8 71 Salvador Perez 138 51.45%
9 62 Billy Butler 122 50.82%

Batting average against fastballs:

Rank Results Batter Average
1 11 for 19 Eric Hosmer .579
2 5 for 13 Alex Gordon .385
3 7 for 23 Alcides Escobar .304
4 5 for 17 Lorenzo Cain .294
5 5 for 18 Nori Aoki .278
6 4 for 15 Billy Butler .267
7 5 for 19 Omar Infante .263
8 5 for 21 Mike Moustakas .238
9 3 for 20 Salvador Perez .150

Hosmer has hit fastballs really well in the post season, better than what he did earlier this year and his career.

BA % of Pitches
Playoffs 0.579 61.1%
2014 0.295 57.3%
2013 0.325 58.7%
Career 0.304 58.5%

Hosmer has actually been one of the best fastball hitters in the playoffs since Pitch FX was tracked in 2007:

2014

Rank Batter Results BA
1 AJ Ellis 7 for 12 0.583
2 Eric Hosmer 11 for 20 0.550
3 Jon Jay 8 for 15 0.533
4 Hanley Ramirez 5 for 10 0.500
5 Anthony Rendon 6 for 14 0.428

Since 2007 (min of 10):

Rank Batter Results BA
1 Carlos Gonzalez 9 for 13 0.692
2 Eric Hosmer 11 for 20 0.550
3 Ryan Ludwick 6 for 12 0.500
4 Brandon Inge 6 for 13 0.461
5 Freddie Freeman 6 for 13 0.461

Now for breaking balls:

Break heat

Rank Results Batter Total Pitches Percent of Pitches as Breaking Balls
1 56 Salvador Perez 138 40.58%
2 49 Billy Butler 122 40.16%
3 49 Alcides Escobar 140 35.00%
4 40 Omar Infante 128 31.25%
5 42 Alex Gordon 152 27.63%
6 32 Lorenzo Cain 118 27.12%
7 32 Eric Hosmer 139 23.02%
8 19 Mike Moustakas 133 14.29%
9 13 Nori Aoki 136 9.56%

Rank Results Batter batting_avg
1 7 for 14 Lorenzo Cain 0.500
2 1 for 3 Nori Aoki 0.333
3 3 for 12 Alcides Escobar 0.250
4 1 for 4 Mike Moustakas 0.250
5 2 for 11 Billy Butler 0.182
6 1 for 6 Alex Gordon 0.167
7 1 for 6 Eric Hosmer 0.167
8 1 for 8 Omar Infante 0.125
9 1 for 12 Salvador Perez 0.083

Hosmer is getting and crushing fastball, yet when teams feed him breaking balls he's struggling. Cain has been very good against breaking balls. For your pleasure, here is the event log for Cain vs a breaking ball:

2-Oct Ground Out
2-Oct Ground Out
2-Oct Fly Out
2-Oct Line Out
3-Oct Single
3-Oct Line Out
3-Oct Strike Out
10-Oct Double
10-Oct Single
11-Oct Single
11-Oct Pop Out
11-Oct Single
11-Oct Single
11-Oct Double

Since October 10th, Lorenzo Cain is 6-7 on breaking balls and will carry a hit streak, if you consider 3 a streak, going into tomorrow's game and further until he ends an at-bat with a breaking ball.

And finally, offspeed pitches:

Off Heat

Rank Batter Total Pitches Precent of Total Pitches as Offspeed
1 Nori Aoki 136 13.97%
2 Alex Gordon 152 13.82%
3 Eric Hosmer 139 12.23%
4 Lorenzo Cain 118 11.86%
5 Mike Moustakas 133 10.53%
6 Billy Butler 122 9.02%
7 Alcides Escobar 140 7.86%
8 Salvador Perez 138 6.52%
9 Omar Infante 128 3.91%

Rank Results Batter BA
1 1 for 2 Mike Moustakas 0.500
2 1 for 3 Eric Hosmer 0.333
3 1 for 6 Nori Aoki 0.167
4 0 for 3 Alex Gordon .000
5 0 for 1 Salvador Perez .000
6 0 for 1 Billy Butler .000
7 0 for 2 Lorenzo Cain .000
8 0 for 1 Omar Infante .000
9 N/A Alcides Escobar N/A

Soooooooo throw more offspeed pitches to the Royals. They were the 20th worst in baseball against changeups this year and have the most strikeouts as a team via offspeed pitches this post season. The Giants have 6 pitchers who throw a changeup/splitter for 10%+ of their pitches.

Rank Results Pitcher Total Pitches Percent of Total Pitches as Changeup
1 415 Jean Machi 917 45.26%
2 479 Tim Lincecum 2665 17.97%
3 415 Tim Hudson 2784 14.91%
4 407 Ryan Vogelsong 3058 13.31%
5 185 Yusmeiro Petit 1646 11.24%
6 90 Sergio Romo 849 10.60%
7 88 Jake Peavy 1162 7.57%
8 247 Madison Bumgarner 3372 7.33%
9 40 Javier Lopez 599 6.68%
10 53 Jeremy Affeldt 810 6.54%
11 21 Santiago Casilla 844 2.49%
12 1 Hunter Strickland 95 1.05%