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Wager on this: Royals prop bets

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You have to wager money to make money. Or something.

Would you bet on this man?
Would you bet on this man?

Courtesy of Bovada, here are some Royals prop bets for the upcoming season. See if you can spot some easy money. To paraphrase David Letterman, these are for entertainment purposes only. Or clip and save and get your butt to Vegas.

Eric Hosmer - BA in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under .295

Eric Hosmer - Total HR's in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 20½

Eric Hosmer - Total RBI's in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 84½

Zips has Hosmer at .296 with 20 HR and 77 RBI. PECOTA's weighted mean pegs him at .280 with 17 HR and 77 RBI. Of course the RBI total is dependent upon who hits in front of him in the lineup. If Omar Infante is out for any stretch are we insane enough to think about Alcides Escobar immediately ahead of Hosmer?

The bottom line here is if you buy Hosmer's 2/3 of a season resurgence. Personally, I'll drink that Kool-Aid. Over on all three.

Mike Moustakas - Total HR's in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 20½

In half of one season he hit five home runs. He followed that with 20 in 2012 and tumbled to 12 last year. I'll stick with the under. Even with encouraging reports from Surprise. But I would gladly lose the money.

Alex Gordon - Total HR's in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 19½

In the last three seasons of the Gordon Renaissance he's topped that number twice. Every projection system has him under. If there was one over/under I would avoid, this would be the one. Over. Barely.

Billy Butler - BA in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under .299

Billy Butler - Total HR's in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 24½

Billy Butler - Total RBI's in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 95½

I definitely take the under on Butler's home runs. He's beat that number once in his entire career. Plus, the ground balls. So many ground balls. Actually that entire set of numbers feels aggressive to me. I'll say he hits one of the three and take the average as the over.

Salvador Perez - BA in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under .295

Salvador Perez - Total RBI's in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 69½

Hmmm...Both Zips and Oliver have Perez at 67 RBI. I'll go under on average and over on RBI.

Norichika Aoki - Total Stolen Bases in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 24½

The projections have Aoki in the upper teens or low 20s. I say throw out the projections and consider his role (leadoff) and manager (Yost.) He tops this easily.

James Shields - Total Wins in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 14½

James Shields - Total Strikeouts in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 205½

And improved offense and a still solid bullpen means Shields tops the win total. I'll take the under on the strikeouts, though. He lost over a whiff per nine last year. If he punches out eight batters per nine this season and throw 210 innings that figures to about 186 strikeouts.

Greg Holland - Total Saves in the 2014 Regular Season
Over/Under 39½

Over. The sky is the limit for the Dirty South.