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Minnesota Twins series preview: These guys again

Brian Dozier's been smoking hot. The Twins could still lose 100 games.

Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The World Champion Kansas City Royals come off a disappointing home stand that saw the strength of their bullpen let them down against teams in the Wild Card hunt, heading to Minnesota to try to get right. Any hope for making the playoffs dwindles, but with the last place Twins next up on the schedule, the Royals can build some momentum against a team that frankly has not been very good.

*All stats courtesy of FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference

Pitching match-ups

Game One - Monday, 1:10 PM CDT

Pitcher G IP K BB ERA FIP xFIP SIERA fWAR rWAR
Ian Kennedy 27 160.0 154 50 3.66 4.72 4.59 4.14 1.3 3.1
Jose Berrios 9 37.0 35 23 9.24 6.18 5.50 5.18 -0.3 -1.3

Berrios has struggled mightily to be anything less than atrocious in his first taste of Major League Baseball. Bouncing up and down between the high minors and the big league club, Berrios has little left to prove in the minors, but there is no way to spin his nine starts as anything less than disastrous so far. The Royals have to hope that he doesn't choose his first start back on his third recall from the minors this year to begin to build a bridge across the chasm separating his minor-league dominance and his major-league putrescence.

Game Two - Tuesday, 7:10 PM CDT

Pitcher G IP K BB ERA FIP xFIP SIERA fWAR rWAR
Dillon Gee 28 106.0 84 31 4.33 4.88 4.60 4.35 0.2 0.6
Ervin Santana 25 152.1 119 41 3.54 3.78 4.20 4.34 2.7 2.8

Santana's still pretty good.

Game Three - Wednesday, 7:10 PM CDT

Pitcher G IP K BB ERA FIP xFIP SIERA fWAR rWAR
Danny Duffy (L) 37 149.1 157 32 3.13 3.48 3.81 3.46 2.9 3.9
Kyle Gibson 20 117.0 82 43 5.31 4.79 4.51 4.74 0.7 0.0

Despite his first-round pedigree, Gibson has turned into the flawed pitcher the Twins system churns out. The Mizzou alum gets by with middling velocity, the soft-tossing, pitch-to-contact hurler that shouldn't ever give anyone fits. Of course, he sometimes becomes that garbage thrower that confounds the Royals. It's entirely possible that despite his pedestrian nature that Cy Gibson makes an appearance.

The Batsmen

Name Pos PA HR R RBI SB BA OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ fWAR rWAR
Brian Dozier 2B 586 35 89 87 13 .276 .348 .559 .378 136 5.3 5.6
Jorge Polanco (S) SS 172 1 18 16 3 .295 .341 .429 .331 105 0.7 1.2
Joe Mauer (L) 1B 538 10 67 47 2 .275 .374 .405 .337 108 1.5 2.3
Trevor Plouffe DH 336 11 34 46 1 .257 .301 .412 .306 88 -0.2 0.2
Max Kepler (L) RF 369 16 48 59 5 .244 .321 .460 .330 104 1.2 2.6
Miguel Sano 3B 432 22 50 58 1 .239 .324 .459 .335 107 1.1 0.2
Eddie Rosario (L) LF 324 8 47 30 5 .261 .289 .405 .294 79 0.7 0.9
Kurt Suzuki C 329 6 32 44 0 .282 .323 .426 .322 98 1.0 0.9
Byron Buxton CF 234 4 27 25 9 .221 .268 .390 .280 70 0.6 1.2
Bench Pos PA HR R RBI SB BA OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ fWAR rWAR
Juan Centeno (L) C 161 2 15 20 0 .252 .294 .364 .286 74 0.2 0.3
John Ryan Murphy C 48 1 1 2 0 .136 .174 .227 .177 -1 -0.3 -0.7
Eduardo Escobar (S) IF 301 5 27 33 1 .263 .297 .379 .291 77 -0.1 -0.1
Robbie Grossman (S) OF 318 9 43 31 1 .269 .384 .437 .360 124 0.5 -0.0
Logan Schafer (L) OF 14 0 4 0 0 .308 .357 .385 .326 101 0.0 0.2

Stats through Sunday, September 4

Brian Dozier has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball in the second half. Since June 18, the second baseman has clubbed 28 homers, scored 60 runs, driven in 62, stolen eight bases, and slashed .315/.367/.713. To say he's been on a tear would be a gross understatement. Byron Buxton has wasted little time putting his struggles from his previous call-ups behind him. In four games since getting recalled from Rochester, Buxton has slashed .563/.563/1.313 with three hung dongs in 16 PA. He's raised his slash line from .193/.247/.315 to .221/.268/.390 in a mere four days. It will be interesting to see how quickly a person can shed the "disappointing" label.

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