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The Royals farm system is a shell of what it once was, writes MLB.com prospect expert Jim Callis. Some of that was through trades, some through draft limitations, but some of it was just bad picks in the draft. The Royals failed to land anyone on the Top 100 prospect list, and Callis writes there is no “obvious middle-of-the-order hitter or frontline starter on the way” in his ranking of the top 30 Royals prospects.
Left-handed pitcher Matt Strahm tops the list, and he is lauded for improving each year. Callis notes that his “fastball and curveball tend to tick down over longer stints, so he has a ceiling as either a mid-rotation starter or a setup man.”
Hunter Dozier sits at #2 in the organization and Callis likes the progress the former first-rounder made after a disastrous 2015 season, noting that although he is blocked at third, he could become a decent outfielder. Fireballing right-hander Josh Staumont is third on the list with “the highest ceiling”, but with big-time command issues. Callis does not seem to think it is necessarily a mechanical issues, writing “there's nothing glaring with his delivery, though he struggles to keep it in sync.”
Pitchers Eric Skoglund, Scott Blewitt, Jake Junis, catcher Chase Vallot, first baseman Ryan O’Hearn, pitcher Kyle Zimmer, and outfielder Seuly Matias round out the top ten for the Royals. Their top pick in the 2016 draft, pitcher A.J. Puckett comes in at #11. Recently acquired outfielder Donnie Dewees is #13 and is given the best hit and best run tool grades. Disappointing 2015 first round pick Ashe Russell is #27, and is cited along with outfielder Bubba Starling (who did not make the list) as having the biggest fall in the organization.
Callis also answered a few questions on Twitter. He thinks Matt Strahm could make it as a starter.
Don't look at Strahm as a definite RP. Succeeded in that role and I'm sure Yost would like him back there, but could be a No. 3 SP. @Royals https://t.co/lObIZ13e49
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
He thinks Donnie Dewees could be an option in center.
Maybe. Dewees is best in-house option who can definitely play CF, but @Royals may want better D & arm there. @Royals https://t.co/Lj8CndmlO8
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
If the @Royals could merge Dewees' hitting ability w/Bubba Starling's D, that would be a nice CF. Not sure that technology exists, however.
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
On whether Chase Vallot or Meibrys Villoria could one day replace Salvador Perez, he cites Sebastian Rivero as well.
Most likely. Gallagher best D but can't hit. Vallot has power but C in progress. Viloria could be avg bat + D. Don't sleep on Rivero @Royals https://t.co/ms52waqq44
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
Sebastian Rivero has more D upside than Vallot & Viloria. Maybe not as much offense but promise as contact bat. @Royals https://t.co/n1j9gDjMzk
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
What does the future hold for Raul Mondesi?
I wish I knew. Mondesi only 21, has tools to make you think .270/15 HR ceiling, but lacks discipline & getting rushed hasn't helped. @Royals https://t.co/pr06nD0F35
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
What is the upside for impressive 2016 draft pick Khalil Lee?
Lee won't move quite that fast. Like the bat, has some pop, runs well, think he might fit better in RF in long run. @Royals https://t.co/HeYxgnNu0U
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
Who has the most upside among position players?
Could dream of Gasparini as switch-hitting SS w/15 HR power, plus speed, strong arm. But while young, he hasn't hit & is going to CF @Royals https://t.co/LLtPlypG69
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017
Of guys w/better chance to reach ceiling, it's Seuly Matias. Could be 25 HR w/cannon arm, good athleticism in RF. Puts on show in BP @Royals https://t.co/LLtPlypG69
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) February 22, 2017